Mining investment intelligence

Most mining projects fail above the ground.

SureOre scores the human, permitting and capital risks that technical reports leave out — evidence you can audit, in plain language, before you commit a dollar.

95%
of junior miners destroy capital. Finding the other 5% is the whole game
12/hr
projects screened per hour. First pass in minutes, deep diligence only where it pays
1,000+
human-researched historical assets ground-truth the Bayesian engine
$150
maximum cost per asset screened, against $15k-$100k for traditional diligence*
One factor. One slider.

Everything below is perfect. Now pull community support down.

In the live product, six specialist agents score all six factors on real evidence. This demo locks five of them at their best observed values so you can feel the weight of just one: the community's position.

Likelihood of successillustrative
75
Likelihood of Success
Social licence78 / 100
OPPOSITIONCONTESTEDSUPPORT
Geology — Strong resource, good continuity
Management — Proven team, clean record
Capital — Fully funded through feasibility
Infrastructure — Grid power, road access
Macro — Stable tier-one jurisdiction

Why the swing is this violent: in the historical record, community opposition is the strongest single predictor of project failure — leading industry reports put conflict delays at major mines at roughly $20M a week. Good rocks do not outvote people.

Geology — Strong resource, good continuity
Management — Proven team, clean record
Capital — Fully funded through feasibility
Infrastructure — Grid power, road access
Macro — Stable tier-one jurisdiction
Social licence78 / 100
FORMAL OPPOSITIONCONTESTEDBROAD SUPPORT

Why the swing is this violent: in the historical record, community opposition is the strongest single predictor of project failure — leading industry reports put conflict delays at major mines at roughly $20M a week. The relationship below is calibrated on that research, on permitting outcomes and on documented project histories. Good rocks do not outvote people.

Likelihood of Successillustrative
75
Likelihood of Success
A demonstration, deliberately simplified. In the product nothing is held fixed: all six factors are scored by specialist agents on live evidence, then weighed by the probability engine below.
The engine

Six agents do the reading. The mathematics does the judging.

Every analysis runs six specialist agents — one per factor, each working the live evidence. Their scores then pass into the part nobody else has: the probability engine.

AGENT 01
Geology
AGENT 02
Management
AGENT 03
Capital
AGENT 04
Infrastructure
AGENT 05
Social Licence
AGENT 06
Macro
PUBLISHED RESEARCH

The factor weightings are anchored in peer-reviewed studies of why mining projects succeed and fail. Not in anyone's opinion, and not in a prompt.

1,000+ ASSETS, RESEARCHED BY HUMANS

Every curve is ground-truthed against more than a thousand historical assets, manually researched across jurisdictions and commodities.

PROPRIETARY MATHEMATICS

A Bayesian hierarchical model, stress-tested by Monte Carlo simulation, converts the six agent scores into a defensible likelihood of success — with the uncertainty stated, never hidden.

Composite agent score76
WHAT THE SIX AGENTS FOUND, COMBINED
Evidence confidence67
HIGHER CONFIDENCE = TIGHTER INTERVAL. UNCERTAINTY IS NEVER HIDDEN.
72.5%LIKELIHOOD OF SUCCESS
58.9 - 86.2%90% CREDIBLE INTERVAL
0%LIVE MONTE CARLO — 150 DRAWS FROM THE POSTERIOR100%
Simplified illustration. The production engine is a hierarchical Bayesian model — agent scores are not averaged. This demo shows one idea only: how evidence and confidence shape the posterior.

Fourteen months. A thousand hand-researched case histories. A formula you cannot prompt your way to.

The deliverable

Two hundred pages of geology, or one auditable verdict.

Drag the handle. The left side is what due diligence usually looks like. The right side is what you actually needed to know, with every claim cited.

NI 43-101 Technical Report — 214 pages
14.2 MINERAL RESOURCE ESTIMATE
14.3 GRADE INTERPOLATION PARAMETERS
14.4 BLOCK MODEL VALIDATION
COMMUNITY RELATIONS: see Section 20, p.184 (2 paragraphs)
SureOre verdict — 6 pages, 41 citations
38
Red flag territory
[07]Formal objection filed by the regional First Nation; consultation record contradicts company disclosure.
[14]Environmental registry shows permit application returned twice for deficient community engagement.
[23]CFO departed within 90 days of financing close; no replacement named in subsequent filings.
[31]Geology is genuinely strong. It is carrying every other factor in the public narrative.
Optional upgrade — one click

Argus™. The watchman with a hundred eyes.

Named for the giant who never slept. Deploy Argus across your watchlist and every asset is monitored continuously, from orbit and from the ground — with a forecast of how the valuation could move before the market catches up.

Argus dormant
FROM ORBIT

Policy drafts, export restrictions, commodity cycle shifts, currency and rates — scored for exposure per asset.

ON THE GROUND

Community sentiment, permit registries, local press, site disruptions — the signals that never reach a terminal.

MACRO
Draft export levy entered committee stage in the host jurisdiction. Two watched assets exposed.
-7 pts est.4m ago
GROUND
Road access dispute reported 12 km from site; two local outlets corroborate. Monitoring escalation.
-3 pts est.31m ago
GROUND
Consultation agreement ratified by the regional council. Strongest SLO signal on this asset in 14 months.
+5 pts est.2h ago
FORECAST
Valuation pressure likely on Asset 07 within 2-4 weeks based on converging macro and ground signals. Confidence 71%.
heads-upnow ago

The point: a heads-up before anyone else has one. Argus turns monitoring into prediction — it does not just tell you what happened, it tells you what the record suggests happens next.

Built into every plan

Corey™. An analyst that reads everything and forgets nothing.

Every SureOre account ships with Corey, an assistant trained on professional mining insight and wired into the full mathematical model. Ask it the question you would ask your best analyst, and get the answer in seconds.

Trained like a professional investor — it reads filings the way a sceptical PM does, and it is built to spot mispriced assets.
Direct line to the proprietary Bayesian engine. Ask for the likelihood of success on anything in your portfolio, with the interval.
Compares hundreds of assets in seconds. Rank, filter, find the outliers, surface the red flags.
Exports shaped to your workflow. Tell it how you want the numbers and paste them straight into Sheets or Excel.
Corey
Corey™
SEARCH COMPLETE
I'm looking for mispriced assets. Search my portfolio for projects with a high likelihood of success but a below-average market cap.
Three candidates stand out. Likelihoods from the Bayesian engine, with 90% intervals:
ProjectLikelihoodRange
Syerston Scandium75.0%69.8 - 80.2%
Voisey's Bay72.5%67.3 - 77.7%
McIlvenna Bay71.5%66.3 - 76.7%
All three trade below the peer-median market cap for their stage. Justifications and citations attached.
COPY TABLE — PASTES CLEAN INTO SHEETS OR EXCEL
Mock-up of a real Corey conversation, shown for illustration.
Principles

What SureOre refuses to do.

A score is only worth something if it cannot be bought, bent or reverse-engineered into marketing. These are hard lines.

No paid placements.

Companies cannot buy a better score. There is no commercial path to a higher number.

No black boxes.

Every score traces back to cited evidence. If we cannot show you why, we do not say it.

No hype amplification.

Press releases are treated as claims to verify, never as facts to repeat.

No investment advice.

SureOre produces research opinions. The decision, and the responsibility, stays with you.

How it works

Built from fourteen months of interviews with the people who lose the money.

SureOre came out of primary research with mining CEOs, fund managers and analysts. The pattern was unanimous: the fatal risks were known to someone, somewhere, in writing — and nobody had read it.

STEP 01

Point it at a project

Give us a ticker or a project name. The agents pull regulatory filings, environmental registries, community records, court documents and local press — the sources the deck never mentions.

STEP 02

The evidence argues it out

Specialist agents assess each dimension of risk independently, then the findings are weighed into a single verdict. No factor can hide behind another.

STEP 03

Read it, then check the working

A plain-language report lands in minutes. Every claim carries a numbered citation back to its source document. Disagree with us? Click through and check.

“SureOre delivers in minutes the kind of structured risk insight that traditionally takes weeks to assemble. Its ability to highlight both technical and social licence risks early in the evaluation process supports more disciplined capital allocation.”

Rob KapartiVeridicor
Get started

See your portfolio the way the evidence sees it.

A thirty-minute discovery call, one sample analysis on a project you already hold. If we find nothing you did not know, the coffee is on us.