Discover SureOre

Take a flight over a mine.

Enjoy our interactive guide to what makes SureOre special.

First, a question

Why do most mining projects fail?

The problem, in the industry's own numbers

In a capital-constrained industry, where is the money actually lost?

ERM studied 72 major mining capital projects. 46% missed their delivery date between 2008–2016. These are the causes the delayed projects cited.

Delays to 72 major capex projects · 2008–2016% of delayed projects · non-exclusive
Social opposition42%
Environmental concerns35%
Commercial issues35%
Permitting issues23%
Land access6%
Revenue sharing6%
Health & safety6%
No details available6%
Extreme weather3%
Technical challenges3%
72 projects · 33 delayed (46%) · 2008–2016. Hover or tap a cause. Causes are non-exclusive, so the shares do not sum to 100.
Source: ERM, New Realities Facing the Mining and Metals Industry (2018), p.6 — Causes of delays to mining projects.
The six pillars

Every one of these risks was visible from the air. And in the record.

Act 02 · The siteApproach
Pillar 01 / 06

Geology

Is the rock what they say it is?

The part everyone already reads — and the only part most diligence ever reads.

43-101 / JORC reportsDrill databasesResource continuity
Example signalResource re-estimate cut ore grade 11% between PEA and PFS.
Agent score · illustrative82
Pillar 02 / 06

Management

Who is running it, and what did they do last time?

Track record, turnover, and who sold stock when.

SEDAR+ / ASX / LSE filingsInsider trading dataPrior-company outcomes
Example signalCFO departed 90 days after financing close; no successor named in later filings.
Agent score · illustrative80
Pillar 03 / 06

Capital

Funded through what, exactly?

The plant that is not built yet, and the cheque that has not been written.

Financing historyDilution and runwayOfftake and streaming terms
Example signalUS$113M market cap against US$191M capex — construction funding is structurally dilutive.
Agent score · illustrative45
Pillar 04 / 06

Infrastructure

Can ore actually leave the site?

Power, water, road, rail, port. Each one is a permit and a promise.

Permit databasesGrid and water agreementsRoad, rail and port access
Example signalGrid connection contracted; access-road plan awaiting authorisation.
Agent score · illustrative72
Pillar 05 / 06

Social licence

Will the people who live here let it happen?

The strongest single predictor of failure in the historical record. Good rocks do not outvote people.

Consultation logsCommunity and court recordsLocal press
Example signalEnvironmental licence pending amid a state prosecutor's objection.
Agent score · illustrative66
Pillar 06 / 06

Macro & geopolitics

What can the world do to this project?

Jurisdiction, elections, levies, currency. The weather the project cannot change.

Policy drafts and export leviesFraser Institute policy indexTrade, sanctions and currency
Example signalSpodumene prices recovered; a draft export levy is under committee review.
Agent score · illustrative59
Watch a run

Point it at a project. Come back in ten minutes.

  1. 01Point it at a project. A ticker or a name is enough.
  2. 02Eight agents read the record: filings, permits, consultation logs, court documents, local press.
  3. 03The evidence argues it out. A cited verdict lands in five to ten minutes.

Simulated run on the real interface · timings at 40× speed

app.sureore.ai
Project Analysis

Mining projects are parsed through agentic due-diligence models.

Initiate analysis
The deliverable

Two hundred pages of geology, or one auditable verdict.

Drag the handle. The left side is what due diligence usually looks like. The right side is what you actually needed to know, with every claim cited.

NI 43-101 Technical Report — 214 pages
14.2 MINERAL RESOURCE ESTIMATE
14.3 GRADE INTERPOLATION PARAMETERS
14.4 BLOCK MODEL VALIDATION
COMMUNITY RELATIONS: see Section 20, p.184 (2 paragraphs)
SureOre verdict — 6 pages, 41 citations
38
Red flag territory
[07]Formal objection filed by the regional First Nation; consultation record contradicts company disclosure.
[14]Environmental registry shows permit application returned twice for deficient community engagement.
[23]CFO departed within 90 days of financing close; no replacement named in subsequent filings.
[31]Geology is genuinely strong. It is carrying every other factor in the public narrative.

Illustrative verdict on a hypothetical project — not the sample analysis above. In the product every citation opens the source document.

The engine, live

Now do the mathematics yourself.

Six agent scores go in. A likelihood of success comes out, with its uncertainty stated. Move anything. The social-licence gate is deliberately unforgiving, because the historical record is.

HIGHER CONFIDENCE = TIGHTER INTERVAL. UNCERTAINTY IS NEVER HIDDEN.
63.0%Likelihood of success · Proceed with conditions
53.7% – 72.3%80% credible interval
81.2%Social-licence gate
63.0%
LIKELIHOOD OF SUCCESS
53.7 – 72.3%
80% CREDIBLE INTERVAL
0%LIVE MONTE CARLO100%
80
Permit
social licence, infrastructure, management
65
Finance
capital, geology, management
73
Build
management, capital, geology, infrastructure
79
Ramp-up
management, geology, infrastructure
Illustrative. Illustrative weightings. The calibrated coefficients — fitted on 1,000+ hand-researched historical assets — are reserved for the product. The structure is the same: a social-licence gate feeding four phase gates, with the uncertainty stated, never hidden.
Sandbox mode

Change the facts. Watch the odds move.

Streaming companies and private-equity desks use this to model their own intervention before they fund it. Pick an event. The sliders above move, and the engine answers.

Built into every plan

Ask the analyst who read all of it.

Corey has the full portfolio and a direct line to the probability engine. Ask it what you would ask your best analyst.

Reads filings the way a sceptical PM does, and is built to spot mispriced assets.
Direct line to the Bayesian engine: likelihood of success on anything you hold, with the interval.
Ranks hundreds of assets in seconds. Filters, outliers, red flags.
Exports shaped to your workflow, straight into Sheets or Excel.
Corey
Corey™
READY
COPY TABLE — PASTES CLEAN INTO SHEETS OR EXCEL
Mock-up of a real Corey conversation, shown for illustration.
Optional upgrade — one click

Orbit to ground. Every asset, every day.

Deploy Argus across your portfolio and every asset is watched continuously — from orbit and from the ground — with a forecast of how the valuation could move before the market catches up.

Argus dormant
Weekly deep scansDaily drift detectionAdversarial validationQuarterly self-calibration
FROM ORBIT

Policy drafts, export restrictions, commodity cycle shifts, currency and rates — scored for exposure per asset.

ON THE GROUND

Community sentiment, permit registries, local press, site disruptions — the signals that never reach a terminal.

MACRO
Draft export levy entered committee stage in the host jurisdiction. Two watched assets exposed.
-7 pts est.4m ago
GROUND
Road access dispute reported 12 km from site; two local outlets corroborate. Monitoring escalation.
-3 pts est.31m ago
GROUND
Consultation agreement ratified by the regional council. Strongest SLO signal on this asset in 14 months.
+5 pts est.2h ago
FORECAST
Valuation pressure likely on Asset 07 within 2–4 weeks based on converging macro and ground signals. Confidence 71%.
heads-upjust now

pts est. = estimated movement in the asset's composite score. Signals shown are illustrative.

The point: A heads-up before anyone else has one. Argus turns monitoring into prediction — it does not just tell you what happened, it tells you what the record suggests happens next.

Who it is for

Built with people who've lost money.

Three desks, three different questions, one evidence base.

Funds & family offices

Screen twelve juniors an hour. Spend real diligence only where it pays.

The pain is the false positive that reaches the investment committee. A SureOre verdict is auditable: every claim carries a citation the PM can click. Corey finds the mispriced names — high likelihood, below-peer market cap.

Output: a cited verdict per asset in minutes; a ranked portfolio with intervals; exports shaped to your model.
$150per full run, against $15k–100k for conventional diligence*
5–10 minfrom ticker to cited verdict
Streaming & royalty companies

Underwrite completion, not just the ore body.

A stream is a twenty-year bet that the counterparty finishes. Model the intervention — a stream that closes the funding gap — and watch completion odds move with the interval stated. Then watch the counterparty's permits, community record and management for the life of the stream.

Output: completion odds before and after your capital; a counterparty watch that reads local press, registries and consultation records daily and flags what your quarterly reporting will not.
6pillars scored on live evidence, including social licence
Dailydrift detection across the book with Argus
Majors' corporate development

Pre-bid social-licence diligence across a target list, in an afternoon.

Acquiring a junior means inheriting its permit conditions, community agreements, litigation and closure obligations. SureOre reads the registries, consultation logs and court records the data room omits, then ranks the target list with that exposure surfaced and every claim cited.

Output: a ranked target list; inherited exposure per target — permits, agreements, litigation — with sources; the working shown for the board pack.
1,000+hand-researched histories calibrate the engine
41citations in a typical six-page verdict

*Conventional diligence range as stated on sureore.ai; illustrative comparison.

Why it holds

Fourteen months. A thousand hand-researched case histories. A formula you cannot prompt your way to.

Everyone else sells data. SureOre sells a judgement you can check — built as one stack, not a feature list.

Foundation

1,000+ histories

Historical assets researched by humans, mapped to the same six pillars, to learn which succeeded and failed as investments — and why.

Engine

Bayesian hierarchy

Converts six agent scores into a likelihood of success with a credible interval. Stress-tested by Monte Carlo. Uncertainty stated, never hidden.

Intervene

Sandbox

Simulate events and interventions and watch the odds move — built directly on the engine, so the answer is the model's, not a guess.

Ask

Corey

An analyst with the whole portfolio in memory and a direct line to the engine, including data the front end never shows.

Watch

Argus

Orbit-to-ground monitoring of every asset, with decision gates that make each alert a testable prediction.

CapabilityTypical data platformSureOre
Ingests filings, registries and pressYESYES
Cross-validated, referenced findingsYESYES
Transparent pillar rubricsPARTIALYes — rubrics open and adaptable; engine coefficients proprietary
Agentic workflow across pillarsGeology, permitting, managementSame, plus social licence, geopolitics and infrastructure
Natural-language query over your portfolioYESYES
Bayesian probability of success, with intervalNOYes, proprietary
Portfolio-wide monitoring, orbit to groundNOYes, with forecasts
Interventions and what-ifsNOYes, Sandbox on the engine
Mispriced-asset searchNOYES
Exports shaped to your own modelStandard exportsAny shape, via Corey
Financial and geological data terminals

Comprehensive data from public declarations and filings. No social-licence scoring, no probabilistic model, no portfolio monitoring.

AI exploration engines

Predictive geology to locate new deposits. Built for discovery, not for underwriting projects other people run.

Compounding company databases

Daily ingested, cross-validated data on companies. A database, not a model of your portfolio.

In-house models on general AI tools

Increasingly common. Social licence — the biggest single success gate — is usually disregarded, and calibrating a model needs a history set most teams have not built.

Start here

See your portfolio the way the evidence sees it.

One sample analysis on a project you already hold. If we find nothing you did not know, the coffee is on us.

SureOre produces research opinions, not investment advice. Scores, likelihoods and intervals on this page are illustrative; the Bandeira Lithium Project figures are sample data. The decision, and the responsibility, stays with you. © SureOre Ltd, London.